Phase-type aging modeling for health dependent costs

Phase-type aging modeling for health dependent costs

In the present paper we develop recursive algorithms to evaluate the distribution of the net present value (abbreviated as ”NPV”) of a health care contract. The duration of the program is a random variable representing the lifetime of an individual. We suggest a discrete time phase-type approach to model individual health care costs. In this approach, annual health care costs depend naturally o...

modeling loss data by phase-type distribution

بیمه گران همیشه بابت خسارات بیمه نامه های تحت پوشش خود نگران بوده و روش هایی را جستجو می کنند که بتوانند داده های خسارات گذشته را با هدف اتخاذ یک تصمیم بهینه مدل بندی نمایند. در این پژوهش توزیع های فیزتایپ در مدل بندی داده های خسارات معرفی شده که شامل استنباط آماری مربوطه و استفاده از الگوریتم em در برآورد پارامترهای توزیع است. در پایان امکان استفاده از این توزیع در مدل بندی داده های گروه بندی ...

Modeling Leukemia in Children Using Phase-type Distribution

Background: In this study, with the aim of modeling Leukemia in children using Phase-type distribution, three transitional phases including diagnosis, brain metastasis and testis/ovary metastasis, and one absorotion phase of recovery/death have been considered. The distribution was fitted and the probabilities of death or recovery were determined based on the independent variab...

Measuring and Modeling Health Care Costs

Health Economics and Aging

Objectives: In this paper, aging with its different dimensions is discussed. The characteristics of elderly's life in relation to individual, social, and changes meet aging together with attitudes toward it and major components of elderly are explained. Disease and burden of disease of aging as a central to the areas of Health and Health Economics will be emphasized. The influential factors on ...